Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.052906 0.057451 0.062054 0.067057 0.072333 0.077724 0.083643
2025-03-16 0.047789 0.054646 0.061830 0.069888 0.078649 0.087857 0.098241
2025-03-23 0.043120 0.051646 0.060850 0.071461 0.083294 0.096022 0.110686
2025-03-30 0.039117 0.048886 0.059724 0.072524 0.087114 0.103119 0.121890
2025-04-06 0.035179 0.045791 0.057869 0.072457 0.089421 0.108356 0.130917
2025-04-13 0.032904 0.044387 0.057753 0.074205 0.093659 0.115688 0.142271
2025-04-20 0.029671 0.041559 0.055720 0.073491 0.094861 0.119406 0.149399
2025-04-27 0.027403 0.039727 0.054718 0.073860 0.097218 0.124381 0.157931
2025-05-04 0.025901 0.038730 0.054632 0.075248 0.100727 0.130670 0.167994
2025-05-11 0.024930 0.038334 0.055227 0.077423 0.105160 0.138055 0.179379
2025-05-18 0.022023 0.035186 0.052157 0.074856 0.103641 0.138188 0.182027
2025-05-25 0.020265 0.033471 0.050832 0.074404 0.104664 0.141339 0.188263
2025-06-01 0.018594 0.031808 0.049539 0.073991 0.105771 0.144674 0.194860
2025-06-08 0.018071 0.031742 0.050367 0.076347 0.110420 0.152429 0.206944
2025-06-15 0.017225 0.031151 0.050439 0.077678 0.113751 0.158562 0.217078
2025-06-22 0.016319 0.030407 0.050255 0.078632 0.116575 0.164066 0.226461
2025-06-29 0.015128 0.029154 0.049290 0.078476 0.117912 0.167672 0.233481
2025-07-06 0.014630 0.028936 0.049770 0.080280 0.121829 0.174571 0.244665
2025-07-13 0.013411 0.027499 0.048427 0.079504 0.122274 0.177006 0.250214
2025-07-20 0.012609 0.026679 0.047937 0.079882 0.124239 0.181383 0.258228
2025-07-27 0.012155 0.026399 0.048224 0.081342 0.127658 0.187648 0.268669
2025-08-03 0.011945 0.026511 0.049094 0.083634 0.132223 0.195432 0.281097
2025-08-10 0.010511 0.024430 0.046543 0.080924 0.129873 0.194121 0.281807